An area of low pressure in the Gulf of Mexico, which is presently disorganized, should be monitored, especially along the Gulf Coast through the end of next week.
“Subsequent slow development of this system is possible as it drifts northwestward to northward, said the National Hurricane Center (NHC).
Right now, there’s only a 20% chance of it developing into something tropical during the next 5 days, according to the NHC, and a 30% chance of development during the next 7 days according to other forecasters.
The European and American computer forecast models both have this possible storm developing very slowly.
But it will be worth watching, especially by midweek along the Gulf Coast, as both models hint at a northward track with the system.
If this forecast holds, this would potentially make this the first storm of the 2021 season to impact the US.
“The location of this potential low pressure is exactly in line with what we consider the typical June formation area,” says CNN meteorologist Chad Myers.
If this storm happens to get a name, it will be called Bill. We already had Ana, which formed near Bermuda on May 22.
The NHC is forecasting another above-average hurricane season
In an average season, we see 14 named storms, 7 hurricanes and 3 major hurricanes.
Hurricane season runs from June 1 to November 30.